golf

British Open Golf

Redback

The sports fiesta in the UK/Europe continues with the British Open this weekend.

Don't pretend to be any expert but dutching fore players in the outright win market on Betfair just to have an interest.

Jordan Spieth @ $17 (born to play golf)
Jon Rahm @ $19 (young Seve)
Justin Rose @ $23 (rock solid, the value?)
Matt Fitzpatrick @ $120 (longshot good youngster)
The showbags were all lined to brag about an Aussie win in the Aussie Open golf.

In an Aussie Open you would think an Aussie would win. But no, not at all. How many Aussies were in the damn thing.

Same old story, when it counts Aussie goes missing.

More Aussie Glory

Man U Fan

Well done Adam Scott.

And you know who said it wouldn't happen.

THE PUNTING KING
5 x KHAPTING CONQUERER
Man U Fan 7(dec) / 411
Khaptingly all out 66
Laying challenge Man U Fan def Khaptingly 1 - 0
Tiger Woods has his number one ranking back following his win in the Arnold Palmer. Big deal.

He has a new girlfriend to help him inside ~ put away for a while who he is to himself.

At least he had the decency to play bad golf for years after he went toe-to-toe with himself.

I hope he stays on 14 majors. He has five to go to annex the title of best of all time. It’s getting late, he’s pushing forty.

From childhood virtually, he made it an obsession to pursue the record of Nicklaus, as if that alone could define him as a man. He has shown us who he is. Elin Nordegren knows. He didn’t blow that approach shot but in the whole game that followed, flaws came out as they must. Would she marry him again?

Did he make a mistake? Not on your life, it’s who he is.

What’s going to happen will happen free of anything I write, but I’ll be dismayed to buggery if he ever touches the coat-tails of Jack, a gentleman, a faithful family man, a community icon. And a damned good golfer. What a man he is inside. That’s the stuff that feeds a good golf game. Woods has none of that to fall back on.

Bring on Augusta and let’s go another step on the way to get this sorted.

Woods hasn’t won a Major for five years. May it be ten, then fifteen. Give me the Golden Bear any day. Woods is a creep with his secrets up in lights. It would take a lot of trust and foolishness to put that aside, in private or in public.

Will Fagan make the cut?

justlikejoe

As one of many avid golfers on the forum i thought some would be interested to know, forum regular and defender of all things Euro, Patsy 'Frankel' Fagan teed off in his first ever PGA Australian sanctioned tournament ( 1 st tournie anywhere in fact), the NSWPGA today.
He shot an outstanding 2 over in trying conditions faced by the afternoon field.
Well done Patsy, good luck tomorrow, hope you make the cut mate.

Joelikeacompletehackerjoe.

Ryder Cup 2012

theknuck

Who doesn't love the Ryder Cup, unparalleled emotion and it has the all the tension of a back nine on Sunday at Augusta stretched throughout the three days of competition. It also presents an unteresting betting proposition. I think there will be value backing some of the lesser name euros in the foursomes and four balls once announced but here's my early thought on the overall markets.

Overall winner: Europe
Home advantage always helps and the US do have a very strong team full of in form players and are understandably favourites, but I feel the Europeans have better match play experience and this can get them over the line.. Not sure about the impact of coming off the gruelling tour playoffs schedule will have and I wouldn't be surprised if some of the fresher players stand up for Europe. Guys like Lawrie, Colsearts, GMac, and Poulter can take points off the fancier US players and give the Euros an edge.

Top points Europe: Segio or GMac

A bit trickier picking the top point scores because a deciding factor is who gets a heavy workload, but also who might get an easier opposition. GMac is value at $9 because you suspect his partnership with Rory will be rekindled as a bedrock of the team and with Rory at $6 the price for GMac looks a better proposition.
Sergio has also hit some form and with his Ryder cup history and being the only spaniard in Ollys team he is sure to be well used. Also has good history at the course running second in a PGA championship at Medinah many years ago. He's at $8.50, and appeals but I might wait until the first morning pairings come out to make a call.

Top points US: Bubba

Only took 1 point at the last Ryder cup but had some memorable moments playing with Overton and his game has come a long way. Looks a real Ryder cup style player and Davis Love has indicated he will be dropping the workload of the older guys like Furyk, Michelson and Stricker so it's probably time for one of the younger generation to step up.
Could make a case similar to that for GMac that Stricker is value due to the inevitable pairing with favourite Woods but I feel that might be a poisoned chalice. That pairing will likely go against a strong Euro partnership and Woods capacity under Sunday pressure has been questionable this season.

US PGA

muirfield

Giving you the winner in 12 this time as I've been criticised by some non-golfing experts for tipping too many:

1) King Louis ($40)

The complete player - ideally suited to this tricky windy course.

2) Jason Dunfer ($34)

Muirs famously secured $550 last year. Would have been my best ever result if it wasn't for JD's worse than A. Scott finish. Yes it still hurts.

3) Luke Donald ($19.5)

He will win one before Westwood. Maybe as soon as this week.

4) Tiger Woods ($9.8)

If he's not back he's damn close!

5) Rory Mac ($22)

Massive odds for the freakish Rors (he was even higher before Bridgestone?!).

6) The Kuch ($42)

An American normally wins this event. Could be The Kuch.

7) Geoff Ogilvy ($130)

The mo has gone, but the big mo might be coming back with some promising recent form.

8) Bill Haas ($95)

Funny guy. Can often pop up in a big one. Could be this year's Keagan.

9) Big bad Bubba ($40)

Too much talent not to have $5 on him at 40's.

10) Sendo ($160)

A good straight hitter might pull if off come Sunday.

11) Carl Pettersson ($160)

Funny looking, funny sounding, can play.

12) Poults ($120)

Fav player so I have to back him or I'll be po if he wins!!

NO CHANCE

Lee Westwood - going awful
Jim Furyk - can't close em out like he used to
The Big Easy - yes laying him again (sucker for punishment!)
Keegs - don't rate him - even after last year and today
Webb Simpson - baby has been keeping him up

Good luck BB et al :).
How ironic was it for Adam Scott to say that THE GREATEST CHOKER OF ALL TIME GREG "FISH FINGER" NORMAN WAS HIS HERO.What a great joke both love to choke!!!!!!Also they are both QLD Banana benders as well,a marriage made in heaven.

The Open 2012

Barossa Boy

From Michael McGill at Sportnews.com.au:

All eyes this week will be on Lancashire in England for the 141st Open Championship at Royal Lytham & St Annes Golf Club.

The Open Championship is the oldest of the four Major Championships and dates back to 1860. It is the third Major to take place each year and is scheduled for the weekend of the third friday in July.

There is a field of 156 players who will be fighting it out to hold aloft the Claret Jug this week and the 900,000 pound cheque for the winner. If scores are tied at the end of regulation there will be a four hole playoff.

Royal Lytham & St Annes Golf Club is one of nine links courses used on rotation each year. The Open was last played here in 2001 when David Duval from America was the winner. Prior to that it was 1996 when fellow American Tom Lehman held the Claret Jug.

The course is a Par 70, 7118 yard and has 206 bunkers which are considered brutal. They will test even the best bunker players. There are also three Par 3′s on the front nine.

The rough is thick and will cause issues for those that find themselves venturing into it. The fairways are also narrow and the greens are on the small size. And do not forget the bunkers!

So what do we need to look for this week? Here are a few points to consider.

* Scrambling, scrambling and more scrambling. Like all Open Championships being a good scrambler will be a huge advantage.

*Take your medicine. If you get in the rough or find a huge bunker, don’t try to be a hero. Take your medicine and move on.

*Patience. You need to be able to plot your way around the course and know when to take it easy and when to go for it. Hot heads need not apply!

*Links experience. The ability to adjust t the changing elements such as wind and rain will be a huge advantage.

*Accuracy. Avoid the bunkers at all costs. Keep the ball in play and stay out of the rough.

Lets have a look at who the bookies like this week.

Tiger Woods $10.00- Looking for 15th Major. Won Open in 2000, 2005 and 2006. Worthy favourite.

Lee Westwood $17.00- World No.3 playing some great golf this season. Won Nordea Masters last month. Time to get the monkey off his back.

Luke Donald $19.00- World No.1. His game should be suited for this course. Won the BMW PGA Championship in May. Is this his big chance?

Padraig Harrington $19.00- Won the Open in 2007 and 2008. 4th in US Open last month. In great form at present. Open win number three?

Rory McIlroy $19.00- 2011 US Open Champ. Heir apparent to the golfing throne. Will have the crowd on his side this week.

 

Now it is time to look at our selections for the 141st Open Championship!

 

JUSTIN ROSE $29.00 (www.sportsbet.com.au)

This season has seen Justin playing some of his best golf. On the PGA tour he has had twelve starts and made all twelve cuts. He has had eight Top 25′s and five Top 10′s including a win at the WGC Cadillac Championship in March.

Other highlights have been T5th Honda Classic, T15th Arnold Palmer Invitational and T10th Zurich Classic of New Orleans.

In the two Majors so far this season he was T8th Masters Tournament and T21st U.S Open. He has been so consistent this year.

His PGA tour stats see him 34th driving accuracy, 4th GIR’s, 6th scoring ave, 5th all round ranking, 2nd GIR from other than fairway, 4th scrambling from the rough, 11th sand saves, 15th ball striking, 11th scrambling and 5th Par 4 performance.

If he can achieve those stats this week he will be holding that Claret Jug on Sunday afternoon.

Justin has also had three starts on the European tour being 9th Volvo World Match Play Championships, 2nd BMW PGA Championship and 9th Open de France.

He played here in the 2001 Open and was a credible T30th. This year his game is at a totally different level and I expect to see him up there contending over the weeekend.

He is the World number nine and Race to Dubai leader for a reason!

 

LOUIS OOSTHUIZEN $46.00    (www.sportsbet.com.au)

The 29 year old South African fits all the points this week. He is such a cool calm customer who has a lot of patience and knows how to perform on the big stage. He always seems to be smiling even when he gets into a spot of bother.

Those attributes should see him go a long way this week. He is also a pretty good golfer to boot!

He won the Open Championship in 2010 at St Andrews by a whopping seven shots from Lee Westwood with Rory McIlroy a shot further back with Henrik Stenson and Paul Casey.

In 2011 he showed his liking to links golf with a 5th in the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship.

This season on the PGA tour he has had twelve starts and made eight cuts. Highlights have been 3rd Shell Houston Open and 2nd Masters Tournamaent where he was in a play off with Bubba Watson.

Over on the European tour he was 1st African Open for the second year running, 7th Volvo Golf Championships and 1st Malaysian Open. Last week he tuned up nicely with a 24th Scottish Open.

His stats also look great for a shot at the title this week. 1st scoring ave, 1st GIR’s, 3rd putts per GIR, 14th sand saves and 60th driving accuracy.

The man they call Shrek has the game to see him play well here and it would not suprise to see him claiming his second career Major this week.

 

GEORGE COETZEE $126.00 (www.sportsbet.com.au)

George will turn 26 on Wednesday. What better way to celebrate than drinking Champagne from the Claret Jug!

I have been keeping a close eye on this guy for a while now.

Last season he had 30 starts and turned fifteen of those into Top 25 finishes and eight into Top 10′s.

He also showed his liking of links golf with 15th in the Open Championship, 2nd at the Johnnie Walker Championship of Gleneagles and 3rd in the Scottish Open. That is some impressive links play.

This season he has had 16 starts on the European tour and managed eight Top 25′s and four Top 10′s. Those included 6th Abu Dhabi HSBC Golf Championship, 5th Omega Dubai Desert Classic, 4th Volvo China Open and 7thBallantines Championship.

Stats wise he is ranked 22nd stroke ave, 15th putts per GIR, 32nd sand saves and 15th scrambling.

With those stats and his obvious liking of links courses he should really enjoy himself this week and could be a great bet for each way and Top 10 punters.

Good luck and good punting!

BB

US Open

muirfield

It's always good to be long and straight. Especially so at Olympic!

Top 20 prediction:

-4 Donald (winner in play off)
-4 Dufner
-3 Westwood
-3 Z. Johnson
-3 Kaymer
-2 Rose
-2 Kuchar
-2 Sendo
-2 Ogilvy
-2 Laird
-1 Steelman
-1 King Loius
-1 Crane
-1 Van Pelt
-1 Howell
even - Bryd
even - McIlroy
even - Woods
even - Fowler
even - Mayan

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