Davis Files : Sha Tin Preview - 13th September 2020

Brett Davis runs the rule over Sha Tin this afternoon.

Picture: HKJC

Race 1

#5 Handsome Rebel is unbelievably still a Hong Kong maiden after twenty two outings. It may suggest he's a non winner and I wouldn't take you on in a debate over the subject. However, all weather racing gets underway today for the season and that's where he's done his best work. He's trained by the maestro of the dirt in Me Tsui and he would've been moved on to another stable if the trainer felt he was wasting time. I've always been of the opinion he's better riden with patience and I'm hopeful that's the decision they make today, but the trial in preparation suggests that probably won't be the case. In a tricky race to kick of the program he's a solid each way chance to finally shred that maiden status.
#7 Super Kin has plenty of ability and it was on show in his preparation trial for this race. I've mentioned in the past constant soundness issues have plagued his career for long periods and today he's having start seven, as a 6yo. The positive going forward for connections is he coped well with four runs last season and fronts up again today, with no extended rest period required. I marked him the likely favourite an all being equal the hardest to beat.
#3 Dollar Reward lost all form in the closing months last season so the break should have done him the world of good. He maps to gain the run of the race and it's worth remembering he won his first two starts last season on this surface.
#9 Super Winner has the benefit of a start already this season and that makes him worthy of inclusion. He can roll forward from the gate sit handy to the speed and shouldn't underestimated, despite ultimately searching for the drop in grade.
#8 Viva Council has won four of five races in this class and displayed his continued enthusiasm by winning a trial in the lead up. He often takes a few meters to muster speed which concerned me from the low barrier. But, if he pumps through with no issues early and finds his rhythm he's a genuine winning chance.

Selections : 5,7,3,9,8

R2 - 6,4,7,1,3

R3 - 3,2,6,1,9

R4 - 4,3,2,10,7

Race 5

#3 Regency Master took all of last season to get up and running but was super impressive taking out a class4  in his final run for the term. By Savabeel out of a High Chaparral mare you'd fancy him to get better with time and the incremental increase in distances. What he has already shown is a remarkable turn of foot which makes him progressive and exciting to watch. The break in the off season has given him the freshen up he required, as it's likely he'll be in for a long season. The good thing of the day.
#8 Family Leader is an honest galloper who's drawn well today and you'd expect him to run his normal competitive race. With a guarantee of travelling forward and racing handy you can expect another solid run for your money. Particularly if something went wrong with the favourite, as he'll be there to pick up the pieces.
#4 Jimmu has been an under achiever since arriving from Germany on a very high rating of 81points. He'll kick of the new season today on 49points with a jockey aboard that has shown immense loyalty and commitment. Blake Shinn has been aboard his last five starts and two of them were decent runs when zooming home from near last. This is potentially a season where he can finally get on the winners board.
#9 Wonder Express looked a limited galloper until the end of last season. A win in class5 followed by two solid runs up in grade suggests he's figured it all out. How much higher he can go is certainly up for debate but the positives are Chad Schofield knows him better than anyone and he's drawn ideally.
#6 Apex Top is the winner of a recent 1000m turf trial in reasonable time and in doing so cut down Moneymore, who subsequently won well on opening day. Trials are trials and races are races as we know, however, it's his first glimpse of form so I'd watch the market closely.

Selections : 3,8,4,9,6

R6 - 2,4,1,6,11

R7 - 2,1,3,7,4

R8 - 6,1,5,10,4

R9 - 2,5,6,13,4

Race 10

#2 Star Of Yuen Long looks like getting control from the outset without to much opposition for pace, but he can easily take a sit if thats not the case. With a solid grounding of two trials under the belt and the ideal gate in barrier4, he looks difficult to oppose. His 2yo form in New Zealand suggested there'd be quite a bit to work with however it's been a relatively slow process so far. With that in mind he appears nicely rated and well suited today, however there are others competing with similar profiles.
#13 So We Joy is one of the opposing opposition that posses a decent sized engine and a promising future. His win over the 1600m in early July was the performance of a horse with plenty of scope an untapped ability. The runner he easily defeated on that occasion was Chevalier Prince and he himself looks a better than average conveyance. This is a very nice horse but my only little query today was the 1400m, it might just be a fraction short.
#10 Joyful Heart won his first start and since has gone on to win two more. What I like the most is he continues to get better and better with racing. He had a massive work load last season and was desperate for rest, now he's had that I'm very respectful of his presence.
#1 Circuit Glory has not won for more than a season but that last win was in class1 and for this jockey. In review of his efforts last season, I'm suggesting he's close to finding his best form again and I'm expecting him to be competitive today and in future, particular at the valley.
#11 Superb Daddy showed some wow factor last season when scorching home from well back to score in a class4. He recently repeated that action in a preparation trial but must now step up on race day, against the better opposition.

Selections : 2,13,10,1,11

Racing and Sports

Brett Davis

Brett Davis spent 14 racing seasons with the Hong Kong Jockey Club between 2006-2019 as a leading Form Analyst/Race Caller and was the HKJC Chief Race Caller from 2014, calling the last 5 Hong Kong International (Turf World Championships) race meetings and in total over 50 Gp1 International races.

Brett now resides back in Adelaide/Australia his hometown where he is Chief Race Caller for Tabcorp/SkyChannel/RadioTAB.

His passion for Hong Kong Racing continues strongly and alongside his overall knowledge of racing in Asia, the inns and outs of Hong Kong Racing in general and close contacts within the industry Brett is a valuable asset to the Racing and Sports team and its subscribers.