3 minute read
The Racing and Sports Pricing Model picks for the 2020 Sprint Cup from Haydock.
Top flight racing goes to Haydock on Saturday for the running of the 2020 Sprint Cup and the Racing and Sports Pricing Model has crunched the numbers ahead of the competitive six furlong heat.
The early betting makes this a duel at the top between the Diamond Jubilee 1-2 Hello Youmzain and Dream Of Dreams.
Hello Youmzain won this race last year, and has a nice bank of ratings at the level, but The Model has a liking for Dream Of Dreams, having fancied him at Newbury last time, and a huge peak figure at Newbury only strengthened the likeable profile he brings to the table.
Of couse he now has to bring that back in trip but what he loses in ratings at the distance he picks up in simply having a big last start figure to his name which if replicated would win this race more often than not.
Click here for free form and ratings for racing from Haydock
Hello Youmzain was very solid at Deauville last time, and won this race last year (that peak at the course counts for something), but it is interesting to note that both Lope Y Fernandez and Golden Horde were sent out much shorter in the market than him there.
The Model is primarily concerned with realisation but expectation matters. Particularly when looking through a probabalistic lens.
Ryan Moore's release from Quarantine in Ireland gives Lope Y Fernandez the nice little boost of powerful high-striking connections and there's a good chance that he can show better form than he did in France last time.
His profile is well fancied and if there is a bet to be had away from Dream Of Dreams then the Model says it's Lope Y.
