3 minute read
Tips and preview from the Racing and Sports pricing model for the 2020 Futurity Trophy from Doncaster.
Champions day has been run and won but there is still one more Group One to take place in the UK before the season is out and it goes this Saturday night at Doncaster.
The Futurity Trophy, formely the Racing Post Trophy, has been a good pointer to the future in recent years - won last year by the susbsequent Guineas winner Kameko though at Newcastle on the all weather after Doncaster became waterlogged.
Again the ground will be on the soft side in 2020, but nothing outside the norm this time, and we can press on to the race without too many going concerns.
Aidan O'Brien has a fantastic record in the race (in which race doesn't he?) having won four of the last ten and trained the runner up in the other six!
In 2020 he saddles early favourite Wembley and the Racing and Sports pricing model agrees with that assessment.
Wembley comes off second placings in both the National Stakes in Ireland and the Dewhurst last time where he stayed on late as though the mile would be ideal now.
His main market rival is One Ruler who won over the mile in the Autumn Stakes on that same card but the time says he has a bit of work to do to match Wembley and despite One Ruler being promising and similarly well connected the gap in the market seems too small based on form to date.
King Vega also fits the nice horse going the right way mould but seems to have been priced up like a good leap forward is a given.
Away from Wembley it is the fourth pick in the betting who looks the biggest hurdle, with Joseph O'Brien's State Of Rest coming off a clear career best in the Champagne at Doncaster which rated well.
Perhaps the early betting is making too much of the Champagne winner Chindit coming off his form in the Dewhurst next time, and indeed a straight line through that one would say that Wembley has the better of State Of Rest, but things are rarely so neat and with the stable continuing to perform well this looks like a bet well worth having as an aside to the favourite.
