3 minute read
Racing and Sports preview the final two days from the Royal Meeting at Ascot.
The first three days have provided plenty of terrific action on the course and in the betting ring but the one thing that has been notably lacking is standout winner highlighted by the Racing and Sports Pricing Model.
Battaash was turned over on the opening day. Queen Power ran well on the second day, but they don't pay on that, and the Model's biggest fancy so far Noon Star was very plain yesterday - salt rubbed into that wound by the 18-1 winner being one that Noon Star had dealt with fairly decisively the start prior.
Thankfully there are two more days, and three more Group Ones, and the Model has strong views in two of those.
The one that it takes a wishy washy view of is tonight's Coronation Stakes where Mother Earth has things going for her as a well-connected Guineas winner with recent runs but has no real ratings edge with that Guineas having been ordinary - as far as Guineas wins go.
Much the same can be said of the winner of the Irish equivilent, Empress Josephine. Pretty Gorgeous ran a plain race behind Mother Earth at Newmarket but has better ratings than her from last season and was $2.90 v $11.00 there. Alcohol Free was $3.50 there and also has stronger ratings to her name. Shale is another that has good form and SPs from last season but did nothing in her lone run this time in. All in all it looks a race to swerve with things a bit more clear cut in the Commonwealth Cup that precedes it.
There we find Suesa, a flying filly from France who is unbeaten in four and has put up a couple of slick efforts to win a pair of Group Threes this season.
French sprinting form has often been something that we can take a dim view of without any trouble but the locals don't look up to much at all (the key local leads up were won by Rohaan at 20-1 and 33-1) and Suesa might not have to do any more than she has been doing to run away with this.
The one in the field with a rating to knock her over is Supremacy but he was straight up awful in his lone run this time around at the same course and distance. Double figure odds may be worth saving on for those that are forgiving, but ultimately Suesa is the one seen as the bet in the race.
Click here for free form, ratings and speed maps for Royal Ascot
14 hours on, over the same course and distance, we have the Diamond Jubilee where Starman heads the market after returning with a terrific win in the key lead up at York.
Nahaarr ran him close there, and on face value there is little between them in this, but Starman was shorter in the betting and has a better profile to improve so can be marked the more likely of the two again.
Dream Of Dreams is another that has nothing like the profile to improve that Starman can boast but what he does have his runs on the board. He's run stormers in the race the past two years and went to another level as a six-year-old last year.
That level is well up to winning here and he was near enough to it when returning with a win at Windsor. Strong bank of ratings, strong recent run, strong jockey and trainer. These are all positive variables and make him as likely as any on the final day.
Recommended Bets: Back Suesa in the Commonwealth Cup. Back Dream Of Dreams in the Diamond Jubilee.
