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Kensington winners - tips for Wednesday, 4th October 2023

3 minute read

Tips and race by race preview by Ray Hickson for Wednesday’s Rosehill meeting. Selections based on a good track.

Picture: Steve Hart

Race 1 - 2:00PM BEST OF BORDEAUX @ COOLMORE PLATE (1400 METRES)

8. Incessant is a big watch on debut in a wide open maiden. Both trials have been sound enough and while beaten a fair way in the latest the winner looks smart and he wasn't asked to chase it. Draws the inside and the trip looks to suit. No surprise to see him run well at odds.

Dangers4. Primo looked to only be warming up at the finish on debut at Kembla five weeks ago. Started favourite and while he had his chance he may simply have found it too sharp. Gets a soft run and open to improvement. 5. Seneschal had some mixed form in his first prep but did seem to perform better on top of the ground. Typically quiet trials from the Waller stable but has found James McDonald to ride. Keep safe. 6. Princess Mary ran second in the same trial at Incessant, thought she was tickled up a bit more to hold that spot but kicking off at this trip will suit. She's done nothing wrong in two starts and is worth including.

How to play it: Incessant E/W ($14 TAB Fixed Odds).

Race 2 - 2:35PM HEADWATER @ VINERY STUD HANDICAP (1400 METRES)

3. Iknowastar has found his best form quickly this prep, backing up a solid return with dominant all the way wins at Mudgee and in the Dubbo Cup. Claim helps him and he looks likely to find the front again, if that's the case he will take plenty of running down.

Dangers: Stablemate 7. Hollywood Hero came from a long way back to run fourth in the Dubbo Cup then favourite and perhaps found 1800m beyond him in the Bathurst Cup. Seemed to have his chance running third there. Sharp drop in trip, imagine he presses forward too and has to be considered. 6. Baltic Coast does tend to perform well fresh and he's fitter for two trials leading in. Best form is at a mile but he's a live chance here. 2. Cognac is fitter for a run back where he held his ground okay at Warwick Farm. Can race handy up in trip and could be a factor.

How to play it: Iknowastar WIN ($3.60 TAB Fixed Odds).

Race 3 - 3:10PM TAB HANDICAP (1250 METRES)

8. Aditi couldn't have been more impressive winning first-up at Warwick Farm and while she's up in class it looks a simple step to take. She'll bounce in front and look to control things once again and given she can only be fitter she should be hard to catch.

Dangers2. Demiana has now been a beaten favourite in six consecutive starts since she won on debut. Tried her best when resuming at Warwick Farm but the winner had a picnic in front and she wasn't able to get near. Fitter and the extra 150m will likely be a plus so she has to be respected again. 1. Ghaanati has shown ability and will appreciate coming back in class from her Queensland winter campaign. Just touched out in her recent trial and capable of showing up. 5. Greece sat handy and tried hard when placed at Canterbury first-up. Can only come on from that and in a small field is one of the hopes with blinkers on.

How to play it: Aditi WIN ($2.60 TAB Fixed Odds).

Race 4 - 3:45PM PRECISE AIR HANDICAP (1400 METRES)

4. Sweet Baby Boom is flying at the moment and if she can stretch to the 1400m she could easily make it three straight. Absorbed a bit of pressure before racing away to a strong win at Canterbury three weeks ago this is a natural step up in class now. Sure to give a big sight again.

Dangers3. Avebury looks close to a win after a much improved second-up effort to just fall short at Warwick Farm to Rise Of The Masses. Draws to stalk and is a stakes winner at the trip. Logical threat. 6. Amati was okay when resuming at Sandown and might be suited coming back to Sydney. At her best last prep she was Group 3 placed at a mile. Worth considering. 5. Speak Up comes back from a couple of attempts at stakes company at Wyong and Newcastle where she finished midfield. Chance to get into the finish here.

How to play it: Sweet Baby Boom WIN ($2.50 TAB Fixed Odds).

Race 5 - 4:20PM BIVOUAC FIRST YEARLINGS HANDICAP (1250 METRES)

2. Ka Bling shapes a big improver second-up after nothing went his way when resuming at Rosehill just over a month ago. Draws to land right on the speed, JMac rides and was never far away last prep at this sort of level. Go well.

Dangers1. Capo Strada may need a bit of luck from the barrier but he also raced consistently last time in so if he gets it he can be in the finish. Couple of nice trials leading in and has won two and placed once from his past three first-up attempts. 6. Stromboli comes through a strong race when third behind Garza Blanca at Randwick a month ago. Won both starts at this track and drawn to get every chance with the claim. 5. Destination ran very well when resuming at Canterbury then not far away at Doomben last time. Down in class and more than capable of being in the finish if things go his way.

How to play it: Ka Bling E/W ($6.00 TAB Fixed Odds).

Race 6 - 4:55PM JAMES SQUIRE HANDICAP (1300 METRES)

1. Body Bob gave nothing else a chance when he crossed to the lead and held a dominant margin at Canterbury three weeks ago. Stays in the same class so up 3kg but small field suits and he'll likely look to lead again. Could be hard to catch.

Dangers10. Rhythm Of Love scored a game maiden win first-up then tried hard but no match for Balkans at Warwick Farm. Gets weight relief for a class rise and with gate one and McDonald to ride she'll be popular. 3. Different Strokes is an honest galloper and he fought on okay into fourth behind Strombus here five weeks ago or so. Trialled since then and expect he will be on speed somewhere. Can show up. 5. August Bloom broke through for a popular win at Hawkesbury first-up but was outclassed in the Group 2 Tea Rose next time. Overlook that and she's capable of better here.

How to play it: Body Bob WIN ($5.50 TAB Fixed Odds).

Race 7 - 5:30PM THE AGENCY REAL ESTATE HANDICAP (1250 METRES)

10. Left Field ran up to expectation with a smart first-up win at Newcastle over this trip. She had good depth of form in her first prep and appears to have come back a bit better. In a wide open race she has every chance if she can repeat the performance.

Dangers11. Panic also went around as favourite to win a maiden first-up, this time at Nowra and he looks certain to relish the extra trip based on how strong he was at the finish. Obviously a step up but well worth respecting. 3. Mural Crown did a good job to win on debut then while beaten favourite at Hawkesbury he was far from disgraced and it was off an almost two month break. Could easily improve with the added fitness. 9. Bolero Belle started double figures first-up at Kembla but won like a short priced favourite. Sure it was a big lift on what she'd shown last time in but have to keep her in mind with the inside alley and jockey change.

How to play it: Left Field E/W ($7.00 TAB Fixed Odds).


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