3 minute read
We head to Kembla Grange on Saturday with the inaugural running of The Gong, can't say I'm overly keen, it looks a very dicey card.
I tried all week to find some worthy angles and I'll be honest, I couldn't really (possibly at a stretch).
While being overly-confident is a dangerous mindset, I still like to leave the office on Friday with a few in the bank, i.e. "should win".
No greater test than trying to sell a bet to my RnS colleague Adam Blencowe, if I am, there needs to be very few chinks (if any).
He is the master of playing devil's advocate and certainly helps me determine how confident I am/should be.
After doing the form for Saturday, Kembla to me looks very shaky.
There are a few I like, but even so they are very easy to poke holes in.
When you find yourself in this position, I feel the best solution is to stick with the class.
The Chris Waller trained Star Of The Seas was sent out favourite in the Group 1 Cantala Stakes [1600m] and while failing to feature, it's no reason to jump off.
Don't feel he was given the best steer and he is sure to appreciate the drop back in grade.
No question he possesses the best piece of form in the field, when third behind Kolding in the Group 1 Epsom [1600m] two back.
A winning machine last preparation, he has held his own against the better company and this is a good deal easier.
Stablemate Mister Sea Wolf compresses the weight scale in his favour and a return to his best form should see him very hard to beat.
Stablemate Lucicello did enough to win first up and with further improvement expected, she should prove hard to beat in the fourth event.
Unbeaten second up, she did a great job last preparation and remains open to further improvement this time in.
Hoping she can settle closer from the good draw and with James McDonald sticking aboard, she ticks enough boxes for me.
Both Misteed and Kylease are very scary, but with the recent run under her belt, hoping she should be too strong late.
Simon Dinopoulos' Three Tips:
Race 3 #6 Mangione @ $7.50
Race 4 #7 Lucicello @ $2.60
Race 6 #2 Star Of The Seas @ $7.50
