A couple of weeks ago we threw up Hypnos as a bet and with 400m left to run that was looking like a pretty good idea. Hypnos travelled strongly but rolled in under pressure and couldn't put the race away, shaping like a bit of a non-stayer.
That was a strongly-run 2000m, they finished slow, and Hypnos did get lit up through the middle stages. So there were (small) excuses for not quite finishing with the gusto we might have hoped for there. He had closed strongly at his first try over the trip the start before coming across from New Zealand and that career-best effort was what made him so appealing last time.
There is enough pace engaged this time to all but ensure that Hypnos won't get away a gentle 2000m, but that peak rating from New Zealand is too solid to jump off now and he is well worth another spin around the 5/1 mark.
As we said at the top, this is a card where winners will be well rewarded and if we can back a horse like Relucent and win we deserve to be well compensated.... He's fairly low percentage and not the type to be nailing the colours to but he ran really well at Hawkesbury last time and has a nice chance of winning race seven if things fall in place.
Relucent is just 2 from 24, and that tells his tale somewhat, but he has got a stack of ratings to his name that can win this and barrier one could be a bit of a blessing for one like him. He can hold his breath and hope for luck from there. If it falls in his lap he can win and prices like 14/1 appeal as a gamble worth having
THE MELBOURNE MAIL
Bet Of The Day: Race 6 #3 Hypnos @ $6.00
Each Way Play: Race 7 #14 Relucent @ $15.00